Jelle Sels vs Nikolai Barsukov Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In the last six months, Sels has a slight edge in second serve performance, winning 43.9% of points compared to Barsukov's 43.02%. Will this translate into an advantage?
• Barsukov excels in return games, claiming 50.91% of points on opponent second serves, outperforming Sels, who secures 46.27%.
• Sels holds a slight edge in dealing with break points, saving 57.79%, while Barsukov saves 52.34%.
• Overall match performance over the past year suggests Sels has been more successful, winning 52.11% of matches, while Barsukov has a 35.71% win rate.
• Both players have their best win rates on clay, but Sels shows superior performance with a win percentage of 56% compared to Barsukov's 36%.
• Sels has faced tougher competition, with an average opponent rank of 360.93, compared to Barsukov's 425.5.
• In deciding sets, Barsukov has a marginal advantage, winning 67% compared to Sels's 63% over the last 12 months.
• Regarding break point conversions, Barsukov is more efficient, converting 36.49% of opportunities, whereas Sels converts 32.88%.
• Sels predominantly competes in higher-level tournaments, which could help in this matchup.

Editorial Prediction (July 31, 2025, UTC):

Sels shows a slight overall advantage with a better second serve performance and greater breakpoint resilience. His experience competing against higher-ranked opponents could translate into an upper hand in this match.

However, Barsukov's superior return game stats indicate a strong potential to challenge Sels's serve, potentially shifting momentum in his favor.

Though both players shine on clay, Sels exhibits more consistent success on the surface. This could be pivotal if conditions favor similar play dynamics.

If the match reaches a deciding set, Barsukov may have the edge with his higher win percentage. Yet, should the match favor second serve success, Sels's slight edge might be decisive.

Considering these factors, Sels seems more likely to clinch victory in this upcoming match, given his experience and superior recent performance metrics.